Maybe if City and Liverpool both implode due to injury crises or something but otherwise the gap is just way too big.
I am a believer in Conte but for context his 16-17 Chelsea team, which had a great season, were (1) much more talented than Spurs (2) overperformed their XG by far more than any other PL side since XG has been tracked (3) didn’t play in Europe (4) had an incredible health record, with basically no important players getting a significant injury all year…and I still don’t think that team would have beat any of Pep’s City squads that were really firing over the last 3-4 seasons (although they would have run them close).
Obviously there was more to it with Conte’s tempestuous relationship with the club and the questionable transfer dealings that summer, but I think a lot of Chelsea’s dip in his second season was simply that they started playing in Europe, saw their XG luck normalize, and also had a normal health record.
And what do they have this season, in addition to the World Cup in the middle of the season?
Yep, they ain’t challenging for shit.
Kane’s injury record about to have spicy new entries.
I think a lot of people put an asterisks next to his title win but the reality is that he won titles at Juventus and Inter with European football too. He even stayed in the title race with Inter right until the end and got to the Europa League final in his first season.
People overstate the impact European football has. These players are absolutely capable of playing 45-50 game seasons anyway.
I personally think Liverpool will be the likely drop out from the top 2.
I just rate Conte so highly that I don’t see any situation where he doesn’t have a team that’s competing for honours. I’d also say that with the benefit of a pre season and some serious investment in the first team squad - he’s likely going to smash the points total that he achieved during his 26 games this year.
I don’t think we really disagree on anything. I rate Conte very highly too. I just think Pep and to a certain degree Klopp has cracked the code for consistency in the PL over the course of a season and its a level really really hard to match.
Btw bet is dependent on Conte starting the season as Spurs manager. If he leaves after one game the bet it still valid but he has to be the manager on day one of the season and then it’ll be Spurs ahead of Liverpool in my eyes