Football Twitter nerd stuff

[shamrockgooner]

Interesting numbers those. #realstats

[BigWeng_4LYFE]

just a comparison of a guy like Aouar who seems to be the media darling right now, as should be considering he’s been impressive on a big stage.

Aouar AM radar

CM radar

As a comparison to the best #10 in the world btw
…

Here’s the hipster pick of the transfer window Buendia with the AM radar

Oh and for funsies Coutinho with a AM radar…

Looking at the coutinho one it really makes me question if we should sign him or not, despite his defense maybe we can continue with a back 5 and he could do some damage with AMN/Tierney on the left. Thoughts??

[shamrockgooner]

So what do people make of this new one?

The xG Philosophy (xGPhilosophy)

[BizzySignal]

[Gunnerpr]

Completely unrelated to football but thought this was interesting in NBA. Shows the improvements in shot optimisation. Whisper it quietly but it looks like they noticed some shots are of higher value than others.

Would love to see some analysis on how football now differs 20 years on.

[BizzySignal]

For the stat lovers

[JakeyBoy]

Thiago Alcantara leading the league in terms of xThumbsUp

[A.F]

This is really good

Profiling Coaches with Data

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Gasperini
Bielsa
Conceição
Imanol
Nagelsmann
Potter

[Flexo]

Messi’s shot map is fascinating. 53% of his shots are outside the penalty area.

I didn’t expect such action on the left of centre. Young Messi was probably a lot more like Mbappe, but with a heavy bias to right of centre. Messi really can score efficiently from anywhere.

Jon Ollington (jonollington)

[AW49]

Michael Caley (MC_of_A)

Xavi

[A.F]

Update:

He’s finally posted the Arteta one:

Piotr Wawrzynów (pwawrzynow)

This really isn’t good enough.

[TheSpecialCnut]

He’s truly a mix between Guardiola and Moyes. Yet worse than both.

[Electrifying]

A shit Conte, as I thought.

[shamrockgooner]

@TheSpecialCnut

He’s truly a mix between Guardiola and Moyes. Yet worse than both.

Can someone please facemash these three cunts?

[InvincibleDB10]

Top Flight Table • All-Time English Football • [1888-89 • 2019-20] • Top 20

This is quite interesting.

[Flexo]

Once in a while I go on a stats crawl. Yesterday I was on Fbref looking at the best and worst dribblers in the Premier League.

What is a successful dribble? A successful dribble is when a player with possession of the ball takes it past an opponent.

Going purely by my eyes, the league average for successful dribbles is between 45%-52%. Adama Traore has attempted a league high 209 dribbles with a 75% success rate. Timo Werner has one of the lowest success rates in the league at 38% (30/79). That matches up with the eye test.

A player that also caught my eye was Emile Smith Rowe at 25% (7/28). 15 game sample. One of, if not the worst player when it comes to dribbling. In the Europa League he’s at 60% (12/20) so the sample size might not be doing him any favours. Since April, ESR is at 1/10 in the league. Something to keep an eye on maybe?

[InvincibleDB10]

I like Traore and I’m surprised there are not more rumours of him being linked with bigger clubs.

I just had a look to see how Willock compares to ESR in the dribbling stats and he has 65% which, along with his goal scoring record at Newcastle, is quite impressive.

I’m not saying Willock is a better or more effective player but, considering ESR has a few injury problems, I would say that Willock is easily good enough to be a very good squad player.

[Phoebica]

@Flexo

Once in a while I go on a stats crawl.

Pub crawl has been replaced with a stats crawl during the pandemic

[TheSpecialCnut]

Was it really that good?

On the post-boxing day table.

The first problem is the underlying metrics suggest that Arsenal were a bit lucky; Expected points were just about 40, actual points 47; Expected goals were 37, actual goals 43; expected goals against 27, actual goals against 21; expected goal difference 10, actual goal difference 22.

The second problem with that custom table is that Arsenal played Brighton, Palace, Newcastle, and Southampton right after the Chelsea match. So, our custom table of 25 matches includes 8 games against those four teams, 1 game against each of the other top of the table teams (except Chelsea which we played twice). If we look at an actual 2nd half of the season table (where we play everyone just once) we are 5th on 34 points (just one point above Leeds) and 7th in expected points (30).

On improved goalscoring

And Arsenal also started scoring more because of conversions as well: overall the Arsenal conversion rate went from 10% (which is actually quite standard) to 13% (which is pretty high). And that was down to increased conversion in Prime areas, big chances, and shots from distance (Willian’s goal). We didn’t get more shots in prime (67 v. 68), didn’t get more big chances (33 v. 31), nor from shots in the box (77 v. 73). In fact, almost all of our increased shooting was from shots outside the box which went from 79 shots in the first half of the season to 97 in the second half. And we converted those shots at just 2%.

On Arteta being a cunt

I don’t think Arteta has gone so far as to outlaw daring or killing fantasy but good lord his football negates joy. And for most of the match he does tell the players to play with almost no daring and fantasy – for most of the match their jobs are to bring the ball forward and see if there is a clear opportunity and if not, don’t attempt anything, keep possession, pass back, play it safe. And it’s clear that he’s a technocrat as well: everything about the team is ruled with a holy hammer which he wields on match day, screaming instructions at the players in and out of possession for 90 minutes, and thwapping anyone who displays too much creativity or aggressive forward thinking.

[BigWeng_4LYFE]

@TheSpecialCnut

Expected points were just about 40, actual points 47; Expected goals were 37, actual goals 43; expected goals against 27, actual goals against 21; expected goal difference 10, actual goal difference 22.

@Aussiegooner you sticking with ur boy Arteta or the advanced stats? xG will tell you Arteta is still fucking trash

@TheSpecialCnut

If we look at an actual 2nd half of the season table (where we play everyone just once) we are 5th on 34 points (just one point above Leeds) and 7th in expected points (30).

Also the table since boxing day thing is not accurate because as has been highlighted here we played bottom of the table clubs twice in that span as opposed to top table clubs we only played once. Arteta isn’t even aids or cancer there are cures for those. I’d say he’s more football ALS than anything.